Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 3.283738 3.921150 4.632512 5.482797 6.468898 7.573830 8.902875
2025-10-26 2.341127 3.146075 4.138709 5.442762 7.099516 9.121810 11.763238
2025-11-02 1.704036 2.534591 3.649238 5.232980 7.399684 10.230776 14.174490
2025-11-09 1.288342 2.096793 3.265250 5.041232 7.627736 11.204014 16.455376
2025-11-16 1.045445 1.842283 3.070986 5.049990 8.088886 12.493857 19.249491
2025-11-23 0.864969 1.640461 2.909208 5.062398 8.528310 13.765293 22.106736
2025-11-30 0.714533 1.453793 2.733034 5.012794 8.845678 14.861131 24.776534
2025-12-07 0.566818 1.238636 2.468702 4.769996 8.808162 15.384093 26.587588
2025-12-14 0.476965 1.112432 2.336820 4.729066 9.088395 16.420268 29.275183
2025-12-21 0.406409 1.009193 2.228508 4.710393 9.395489 17.514492 32.130090
2025-12-28 0.377759 0.988860 2.276219 4.986798 10.253697 19.605679 36.803832
2026-01-04 0.339608 0.938938 2.255328 5.124300 10.864349 21.308564 40.929009
2026-01-11 0.310756 0.906466 2.269139 5.339415 11.656461 23.420603 45.970452
2026-01-18 0.269650 0.834551 2.185564 5.341554 12.033646 24.809954 49.831048
2026-01-25 0.222521 0.735090 2.021948 5.147730 11.993257 25.412702 52.296469
2026-02-01 0.183923 0.648593 1.872777 4.962537 11.945256 25.988041 54.740862
2026-02-08 0.161089 0.601778 1.812742 4.972353 12.308455 27.387427 58.839099
2026-02-15 0.141541 0.559766 1.757455 4.984961 12.676590 28.820746 63.094986
2026-02-22 0.122319 0.513313 1.681750 4.936145 12.899871 29.972131 66.866679
2026-03-01 0.099550 0.447483 1.539321 4.696690 12.657117 30.131356 68.650765
2026-03-08 0.086331 0.411815 1.476843 4.656330 12.876517 31.282170 72.530202
2026-03-15 0.075503 0.381746 1.425355 4.637915 13.145665 32.557785 76.747220
2026-03-22 0.072921 0.384284 1.476207 4.910554 14.159373 35.540413 84.741434